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	<title>Trading on Thin Ice &#187; One to One</title>
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	<description>Learning to trade from scratch</description>
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		<title>Post Seminar Thoughts</title>
		<link>http://tradingonthinice.com/2007/11/20/post-seminar-thoughts/</link>
		<comments>http://tradingonthinice.com/2007/11/20/post-seminar-thoughts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2007 21:28:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>icetrader</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[One to One]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradingonthinice.com/one-to-one/post-seminar-thoughts</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve just come back from a seminar given by Worldspreads, the spread betting company that I use.  It was a most informative and interesting evening. One half of the talk was given by Alpesh Patel, in which the usual &#8220;Mind, Money Management and Method&#8221; were discussed. The other half was given by Brian O&#8217;Neill [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve just come back from a seminar given by <a href="http://www.worldspreads.ie" title="Worldspreads">Worldspreads</a>, the spread betting company that I use.  It was a most informative and interesting evening. One half of the talk was given by <a href="http://www.alpeshpatel.com/about.aspx" title="About Alpesh Patel">Alpesh Patel</a>, in which the usual &#8220;Mind, Money Management and Method&#8221; were discussed. The other half was given by <a href="https://worldspreads.ie/ContentPages/Why_Worldspreads_Meet_The_Team.aspx" title="Worldspreads - Meet the Team">Brian O&#8217;Neill of Worldspreads</a>. Both were useful and Alpesh&#8217;s in particular was entertaining.</p>
<p>All in all, I think it was helpful in some ways but not in others. I feel reasurred that I do understand how Worldspreads do their business which of late I had felt a bit hazy on. It was also very interesting to find myself amongst other clients. Some looked similar to myself, lost in a sea of suits. Of a less helpful nature is perhaps a confusion that I thought I had dispelled with regard to the style of trading that I believe is best for me. I find myself considering day trading again. But as I sit here, thinking rationally, I still don&#8217;t believe that is a viable (or should I say profitable) option for me.</p>
<p>One other thing I found quite interesting was that the level of unease about financial institutions at the moment seems to be even higher than I had believed it to be. Whilst not exactly off my radar, (I have not exactly been keeping a close eye on the stock markets), I expected some pessimism about the markets but there appeared to be a much higher level of fear in the room than I would have thought likely. Northern Rock, it would appear, is in even deeper trouble than I had noticed.</p>
<p>These are merely my impressions of the evening. I&#8217;d like to go through the material that they have provided and perhaps run through what I will take from it as a Stepping Stone.</p>
<p>P.S. I&#8217;ve just deleted my order for Oil. Once again I pick a winner but chicken out! It&#8217;s heading towards 97.50 which would almost have been a doubling of my account size. Everything is so easy in hindsight.</p>
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		<title>Once more unto the breach! Well almost.</title>
		<link>http://tradingonthinice.com/2007/11/19/once-more-unto-the-breach-well-almost/</link>
		<comments>http://tradingonthinice.com/2007/11/19/once-more-unto-the-breach-well-almost/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 21:48:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>icetrader</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[One to One]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fear]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradingonthinice.com/one-to-one/once-more-unto-the-breach-well-almost</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For the past several weeks, I have been asking myself, &#8220;Should I return?&#8221; At times it has been more insistent, such as around the time of my last post but since then it has waned a little again. It is certainly a less frenzied question now than it was then.
My desire and interest to re-enter [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the past several weeks, I have been asking myself, &#8220;Should I return?&#8221; At times it has been more insistent, such as around the time of my last post but since then it has waned a little again. It is certainly a less frenzied question now than it was then.</p>
<p>My desire and interest to re-enter the markets has been fluctuating. This has as much to do with other things that I have been doing as it has with my own thoughts and feelings about the experiment that I had embarked on several months ago. At first, it was a desire to take a break, not just from any open positions but from everything in general. Indeed the month of October was a steady decline into complete burn-out. During the past few months, with work during the day and other projects such as my trading and this blog taking up my time afterwards, I had been burning the candle at both ends and it eventually caught up. A project I had been working on went live in October so that was my priority and the trading fell by the wayside.</p>
<p>At the tail end of October though, I think it had more to do with the fact that I had been out so long already, much longer than I had originally intended plus there was  a nagging fear that I would lose everything. I must admit I don&#8217;t think I have completely overcome that fear but it is more in control. Add in a mix of other interests and personal projects and the time soon flies by. So we come to this week.</p>
<p>I have been slowly and haphazardly reintroducing myself to this world of trading by keeping an eye on a handful of markets and today I finally put in an order for a long position in Oil. Having already missed the boat a couple of times I was determined not to miss it again, then a little of the fear and probably some greed took hold and I moved my order much lower to the point that I felt sure it wouldn&#8217;t be hit today and possibly not for several days. Sure enough my original order would have been hit later in the day and at the close I would have been ahead. With my current account size, it would have made quite an impact.</p>
<p>So while I have re-entered the fray, it&#8217;s more on the edges, in the back, near the emergency exit and I probably only have a little toe inside the room at all. Still, it&#8217;s a start, but to where?</p>
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		<title>Hesitation Sickness</title>
		<link>http://tradingonthinice.com/2007/11/01/hesitation-sickness/</link>
		<comments>http://tradingonthinice.com/2007/11/01/hesitation-sickness/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Nov 2007 13:37:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>icetrader</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[One to One]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trend-following]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradingonthinice.com/stepping-stones/hesitation-sickness</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I feel like I&#8217;ve just woken from a blissful sleep, after a long and crazy party, to find myself with the mother of all hangovers and destruction and disaster everywhere I look. Back when I started taking my little nap, I was very interested in both Crude Oil and Gold. In fact I was on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I feel like I&#8217;ve just woken from a blissful sleep, after a long and crazy party, to find myself with the mother of all hangovers and destruction and disaster everywhere I look. Back when I started taking my little nap, I was very interested in both Crude Oil and Gold. In fact I was on the verge of opening a position in Oil but I hesitated and the hesitation grew into a complete stop. As I do my sums now, I am groaning as I calculate how much money I have missed out on.</p>
<p>Today, roughly speaking, if I had entered long positions in Oil, Gold and Soybeans around the time I was stopped out of soybeans, I would be looking at an account position around the €2,500 mark. Take away the soybeans and gold, which I probably would not have gotten into straight away as my account is so small and I would still be at the break even mark. I feel sick. Hell, even if I had entered two weeks ago, when I felt my absence was stretching a bit long, I would still be much better off.</p>
<p>So where does that leave me? Do I now wait for a correction or do I open a position now expecting the trend to continue? I find myself still hesitating. I am wary of waiting for a correction which requires me to guess a good price. Also, I&#8217;m not sure whether I should buy now as there has already been such huge movements recently.</p>
<p>Caught between, jumping one way or another, I find myself sinking further which then introduces the overriding factor. I don&#8217;t trust myself to make the correct decision when I feel like this. I can feel the panic. It&#8217;s the same feeling as when I am losing large amounts of money. Losing money and not making money, to me, feels the exact same. So, I figure that perhaps the best move to make at the moment is not to make one at all, until the panic has subsided. But is that the right move?</p>
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